Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 21.636809 24.521624 27.669397 31.362548 35.581385 40.255649 45.834392
2025-02-02 17.936424 21.858976 26.476439 32.327138 39.563511 48.246651 59.495857
2025-02-09 14.846239 19.279524 24.857675 32.424076 42.470618 55.422637 73.500205
2025-02-16 12.157651 16.707229 22.782943 31.546108 43.955368 61.037649 86.574857
2025-02-23 10.165925 14.704156 21.101373 30.861029 45.524763 66.974511 101.164198
2025-03-02 8.659505 13.123587 19.735043 30.356160 47.213424 73.306438 117.475372
2025-03-09 7.555830 11.954356 18.773250 30.266668 49.467958 80.812838 136.982021
2025-03-16 6.640899 10.931008 17.868104 30.093532 51.517612 88.278723 157.790867
2025-03-23 6.104511 10.435379 17.726875 31.140212 55.758585 100.099151 188.471512
2025-03-30 5.491895 9.717379 17.098751 31.223028 58.275935 109.240753 215.921315
2025-04-06 4.850087 8.855538 16.092215 30.449141 59.049598 115.217098 238.277306
2025-04-13 4.339082 8.161012 15.289780 29.926774 60.199071 122.065942 263.704213
2025-04-20 4.059577 7.878312 15.245581 30.934744 64.707846 136.740167 309.650842
2025-04-27 3.850318 7.704334 15.389313 32.352975 70.340432 154.863838 367.567958
2025-05-04 3.562231 7.332284 15.083324 32.773384 73.875198 169.029972 419.385835
2025-05-11 3.210953 6.782089 14.332534 32.101090 74.812361 177.391604 458.687599
2025-05-18 2.912742 6.306694 13.678407 31.547532 75.938722 186.429668 501.931476
2025-05-25 2.659857 5.898454 13.118063 31.127658 77.323408 196.383817 550.109475
2025-06-01 2.462600 5.590634 12.744355 31.101671 79.705298 209.383582 610.207347
2025-06-08 2.279168 5.291576 12.351682 30.968147 81.787011 221.993729 672.353949
2025-06-15 2.187328 5.198373 12.437924 32.078643 87.441336 245.671125 775.046482
2025-06-22 2.047043 4.969375 12.161025 32.185664 90.314481 261.930135 858.097866
2025-06-29 1.874691 4.639405 11.588400 31.400822 90.478264 270.157413 916.311523